Why did expert say it is not Altcoin season?

Let’s do some predict for Cryptocurrency!

Altcoin Season has been ripping for months, but Ben Lilly, analyst Jarvis Labs says we are still not in the “altcoin season“

Typically, traders rely on the extensive size of indicators and criteria, such as the entire investment of the Bitcoin market compared to the whole of the total altcoin market, the Bitcoin domination rate, and whether low nuclear cells are gathered with a certain percentage.

As the nature of the investment, the excessive signal can produce production at different times. They decided to chat with bin lily, founder and analyst in Jarvis labs, to see where he and his company think. The market is currently to determine the most appropriate criteria used in detecting whether the altcoin season is really in hand.

Several analysts claim that we are in the altcoin season or at least on the eve of one. Some are looking for support/resistance to flips and fractals in the altcoin CAP charts (isolated from the BTC Market Hat) for a compelling argument.

Why do you think we are nowhere near the altcoin season?

Ben Lilly: I believe that the interpretation of all of what defines an altcoin season is different. For many altcoin chapters, there may be both BTC and altcoins higher. This opposition to Bitcoin is increasing while altcoins remain flat or abandoned.

I think this is a fair view of the altcoin season, but I do not necessarily share it. Simply because if this definition is for the altcoin season, it is not a convincing reason for me to go away from Bitcoin and away from a risk setting.

Because in the definition of the altcoin season, Bitcoin still has a preferential asset.

We think of the altcoin season as market movements that make people wonder or review the minimum traders that are normal.

CT (Coin Telegraph): So, altcoin chapters reflect the change in the process of macro process in the Bitcoin market movement?

BL: Good, return to what I said before, support and resistance, valuable ways to explain. We can see these as areas that have been broken, and we create a quick Crypto price. This is the kind of action you want to expose; assume that you are on the right. At the same time, anything among this support and resistance can be considered almost as “waiting” or normal – loose.

To figure out where this area is possible, we can look at a Bitcoin domination diagram. This allows us to show the percentage of the Bitcoin market. Now, these deals are in the range, who say the “patience” range. And because this trend is low, it is suitable for altcoin because Bitcoin connects some other domination to other coins.

While many may point to this and say that this is the “altcoin season,” I will point out that this kind of activity occurs in the cow’s cycle because the new money is moving.

We are expected in this wide range of expectations from the middle section of 2019, which has been found when Bitcoin has seen it and started to rotate.

Strange enough, we recently jumped from this time in late 2020, and when we did, Bitcoin went to an absolute tear. During this run, altcoins lost value. And similar to how Brent Johnson describes its microwave theory, Bitcoin increased market liquidity because it rose.

We have since returned to this spectrum, as well as the natural market area.

If it happens in front and we put this expected range to our point of view, indicating that altcoins are assets that are sitting because they produce bitcoin tax production. This is when everything will be wild.

Altcoin season to process as a macro for the Bitcoin movement?

CT: Years, traders have identified changes with the domination rate between BTC and altcoins as a corresponding index when the altcoin season begins. As the theory, when the Bitcoin price or in the descending process, or its domination is less than a certain percentage, altcoins are invested by accumulation above Bitcoin action. What thoughts do you have?

BL: Similar to what I explained before is all about expectations. As soon as the market changes the changes to what is expected, then the “altcoin season” will appear.

Another chart that I often rely on is the ETH / BTC pair. When the ether is obtained concerning BTC, this is generally a good sign for altcoins. And recently, in the graph in the current range, there is some extreme acceleration in the chart.

The ETH / BTC pair is already formed because we can describe it as a hemogenic cylinder. For more than a month, we discussed this in the free newsletter “Espresso” from Frequs of Jarvis Labs, and it is clear that the chart is in use and is in the following steps.

CT: Does the chain data value in determining when seasonal chapters start?

BL: Absolutely. In the chain is very valuable if you know how to filter the whole noise you are with. With Crypto, there is apparent transparency to see transactions in the chain. This makes data that can be placed in hundreds of different ways, many of which are somewhat meaningless.

In Jarvis Labs, we filter all data to find information. Then we run through algorithms to create commercial signals. This analysis is high-value data and is used instead of domestic analysts.

In saying that in the chain is still an evolutionary space outside of Bitcoin and Lithium. We watch in half of the twelve Blockchains that develop these signals and produce various reliable signals exactly when the process changes are made and the altcoin chapters begin and end.

A simple trader can follow USDT streams to see the progress of the altcoins season.

When an altcoin season reaches, we probably see USDT flow into other two-layer protocols such as Polkadot, Cosmos, and Solana. This is because many small skin assets that are far from the risk curve purchased in these types of environments will exist in decentralized exchanges instead of focused conversations.

As investors begin to buy these small assets, liquidity will arrive, and USDT is the most common form of liquidity in the market.

Therefore, when the USDT enters these ecosystems by hundreds of millions, you can be sure that the altcoin season is because investors chase these assets only in indigenous Dexs to their protocol (for example, serum) Can be found.

CT: Can a narrative change and some albums prevent their dependence on Bitcoin market performance, which changes the altcoins season?

BL: The perspective of the risk of risk is how to see this particular question.

And as other assets begin to grow in the hat and the age of the market. And the effects of the network will grow. This, in turn, insulate many Cryptographic assets from Bitcoin because it is plenty of connected.

In this way, over time, altcoins will take a bit of BTC performance. There is the first asset to do this simply because of its life cycle and development. But in terms of safety at the price of Bitcoin, this will not happen for many years. I think there is always somewhat solidarity.

This is due to the reasons for macro. Simply, goods generally tend to solidify each other, stocks typically have solidarity. And even currencies tend to move together (i.e., USD, CHF, JPY). In saying this, Crypto will be placed next to each other as a whole to be at least more than this decade, if not the other.

References:
https://www.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/are-we-there-yet…
https://www.reddit.com/r/ethtrader/comments/mue3o5/are…
https://cointelegraph.com/news/are-we-there-yet-here-s-why…